Recall distortion and past choices

dc.creatorHeath, Rebecca
dc.creatorRoy-Chowdhury, Vivek
dc.date2026-01-10T00:31:02Z
dc.date2025-12
dc.date.accessioned2026-08-03T03:51:13Z
dc.descriptionWe explore whether beliefs are distorted to enable optimism about the consequences of past choices. In our experiment, involving over 1000 subjects, individuals are asked to recall a signal. In the treatment group alone, the signal is positively correlated with a favourable unobserved outcome of a prior choice. Our results show that subjects in the treatment group believe the signal was higher, even immediately after transmission. We also obtain some evidence that belief distortions increase after a few days due to memory loss. Finally, subjects distort beliefs in precisely the same way even when they know they will find out the true value at the end of the experiment, implying that the ability to sustain belief distortions indefinitely does not influence the present motive to distort beliefs.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifier0167-2681
dc.identifierhttps://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/394874
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.17863/CAM.124624
dc.identifier1879-1751
dc.identifier.urihttps://repo.dare.co.zw/handle/123456789/181626
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherElsevier BV
dc.publisherFaculty of Economics
dc.publisherhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107302
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International
dc.rightshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subject38 Economics
dc.subject3801 Applied Economics
dc.subject3803 Economic Theory
dc.subjectClinical Research
dc.titleRecall distortion and past choices
dc.typeArticle

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